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Opinion poll predicts hung House, Congress single-largest party

14 April 2018

Even state chief minister Siddaramaiah wants to contest from two seats and is demanding tickets, one from his old Chamundeshwari constituency in Mysore district and the other Badami in Bagalkote district, where sitting Congress MLA B B Chimmanakatti was pursuaded to vacate the seat, they said.

Karnataka poll schedule was not leaked, said an Election Commission committee in its report on Friday.

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Recently, there has been bad blood between the Congress and the JD (S), with seven rebel JD (S) MLAs deserting the party to join the Congress. In 2013 he had defeated MG Mamadapur of JD (S) by 15,113 votes.

The Committee said alleged leak first appeared on an English TV news channel at 11.06 am, which was used by others including Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) IT cell head Amit Malviya and Karnataka Congress lT Head Srivatsa. The C-Fore survey, according to News18, also predicted an improved showing by the BJP, which the agency said may end up winning 70 seats in the 224-seat assembly.

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Apart from seats tally, the important thing to note in the opinion polls is the vote share percentage.

The Congress government has spent around ₹55,000 crore in North Karnataka on various development projects such as irrigation, roads, and rural development, etc.

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However, if HD Deve Gowda is to be believed, the JD (S) won't form an alliance with either of the Congress or the BJP in case of a hung assembly. Meanwhile, the AIMIM has yet to make a formal announcement regarding the elections. But the Congress leadership is reportedly not too keen about it. The opinion poll predicts a 37% vote share to Congress, while the BJP is expected to garner 35% vote share.

As social Media outreach for political parties is increasingly becoming a key factor in Indian elections since 2014, the social media team of JD (S) is way behind the Congress and the BJP. He had also won from the same seat in 2008. As Kumaraswamy had been vocal against the Congress government at various occasions in the last five years, his campaign has been mainly centered on criticising Siddaramaiah's government.

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The BJP had also denied speculations of any understanding with the JD (S).

Opinion poll predicts hung House, Congress single-largest party